First Name | Muriel |
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Last Name | Strand |
Email Address | auntym@macnexus.org |
Affiliation | |
Subject | zev technology & market picture |
Comment | This report should include a discussion of photovoltaic (PV) electricity production for batteries. A power source with no direct emissions from energy production (except maybe the production/distribution/installation of the PV panel) should be given high credits for meeting current and accelerated ZEV requirements. The predicted NiMH batttery price for production levels above 100,000 does not seem to me at all challenging to many middle-income consumers when you consider several other related market conditions. The first of these conditions is the widely reported low maintenance costs of battery electric vehicles. This means lower total costs to consumers, especially when gasoline prices will continue to rise. Moreover, informed observers have noted that GM and Ford are trapped by their market relationships to dealers, based on decisions made decades ago. Dealers of course make good money providing maintenance, and this income stream may be threatened by low-maintenance, consumer-friendly vehicles. Thus, industry’s protestations of inability to manufacture or sell more than 100,000 vehicles may be based on non-technological difficulties. The second of these conditions is the apparent availability of increasing production of PV panels and decreasing prices as volume and knowledge increase (even with some cost increases in raw materials). Again, this compares favorably to inevitably rising costs of fossil fuels. Some research into this market, and its technological and economics prospects, would pertain to the future of BEVs, FPZEVs, or whatever you want to call them. Other major conditions are the worldwide prospects of declining supplies of fossil fuels, of dangerous global climate change induced by past, present and future use of fossil fuels, and of the unnecessary risks of reviving nuclear powerplant construction (not least of which is very large fossil fuel requirements for mining, etc.). Recent substantial increases in public awareness of some or all of these dangerous challenges have I believe greatly increased consumer interest in non-combustion energy sources, and thus also consumer acceptance of new solutions and new cost structures. Industry protestations of lack of consumer interest should be viewed with great skepticism. |
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Date and Time Comment Was Submitted | 2007-05-23 09:19:33 |
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