First Name | Robert |
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Last Name | Conibear |
Email Address | racbear@gmail.com |
Affiliation | Engineer,Ret'd, Oil&Gas Industry |
Subject | Advanced Clean Cars |
Comment | I am concerned that the Board has lost some focus that being too tied to the detail clouds the objective. The objective being to reduce GHG's in the quickest possible time and to do so in the most efficient manner energy and cost-wise. You are correct in that PHEV's and ZEV's are the means to the objective so why not define each of these then address the time line. Use energy efficiency as the base criteria with rewards for greater efficiencies and penalties for less. There are 11 auto companies that now or are near to production PHEV's but less for BEV's. There is no reason to delay an aggressive standard and time line as the technology and products are in place. Remember that these will follow your lead but you can also follow and update your standard as both change. However to be effective the timeline cannot be ignored. The auto companies do not have aggressive production schedules for these vehicles nor, as a result are the vehicles reasonably priced therefore it will take a long time without incentive to replace the existing vehicles. I proposed a method to Barbara Boxer which I have added below which shows a way to do this quickly. Basically the user pays into a fund that is used to guarantee purchase of vehicles to auto companies then is used to discount the purchase price. The numbers shown are for the USA overall but the outcome is for an 80% fuel reduction in ten years and shous the longer term benifits to the economy as a whole. Regards, Bob Conibear email to Barbara, 12 Dec 2011. Barbara, here is how to gain complete independence from foreign oil supplies while reducing Green House Gases substantially and substantially increasing per capita discretionary spending. GOALS--------------Reduce fuel consumption by 80% in ten years (9Mbbl/d to 1.8) ---------------Corresponding crude oil reduction from 15Mbbl/d to 3Mbbl/d ---------------Corresponding reduction in GHG’s ---------------Increase Discretionary Spending by $907.2 million daily!!! ( 9Mbbl/d minus 1.8, times 42 gallons /bbl, times $3/gal) IDENTIFY DIFFICULTY------availability of low cost energy efficient vehicles SOLUTION------Set up an independent non-profit fund to guarantee loans to order large quantities of vehicles that use little fuel or no fuel, and guarantee assembly line production of vehicles that meet the defined standard. Spend the fund on rebates, added, replacing and/or superseding the present rebates. Pay for the fund by usage fee on each gallon of gasoline thereby making the users pay for fuel efficient vehicles and reward them and the country by low to nil future costs of fuel with the new vehicle at no extra capital costs to the buyer. No more studies, experimental funding, etc, just buy them! Here are the numbers: 9 million barrels fuel per day, current use---137,970 million gallons per year User Fee at $.50/gal-------------$68,985 million per year Rebate per vehicle,say $7000, number of vehicles------9.855 million per year Present new vehicles purchased yearly,-------13 million per year DEFINED STANDARD-----Independently set up general standard based on efficiency of the drive system. Here are basic criteria: Driver---------- Electric Motor efficiency-------------------------90% Diesel Engine efficiency------------------------32.5% Gasoline(spark ignition) engine efficiency-----25% Fuel savings compared to spark ignition engines: All Electric (battery)-----------------------------100% Plug-In Hybrids-----------------------------------+80% Hybrid (Parallel drives)---------------------------50% Hybrid (Series drives)-----------------------------40% Diesel---------------------------------------------30% Gasoline, ethanol, Nat Gas-------------------------0% Fuelcell----depends on type-------------------------? VEHICLES AVAILABLE----------Most major auto makers (11) produce PHEV’s, or are about to produce but with limited production. Reserve production of two million vehicles from five and get a good price!! Run,do not walk!! There are of course many variables pro and con, going on this course or any course for that matter and having been in the Oil and Gas Industry as an engineer all my working life I have a lot more info should this be of interest to you. Please note that the oil companies and the auto companies are reluctant to change their ways on this since it will greatly affect their short term bottom line and change the industry forever. Regards, Robert A Conibear |
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Date and Time Comment Was Submitted | 2011-12-13 12:49:51 |
If you have any questions or comments please contact Clerk of the Board at (916) 322-5594.