GBUAPCD RULE 1226 CRIT. & PROC.: REDUC.FOR PM10 & NO2(TPLAN)
LAST REVISED 11/11/11

§ 1226 Criteria and procedures: Interim period reductions for PM10 and NO2 areas (transportation plan).

(a) A transportation plan must contribute to emission reductions or must not increase emissions in PM10 and NO2 nonattainment areas. This criterion applies only during the interim and transitional periods. It applies to the net effect on emissions of all projects contained in a new or revised transportation plan. This criterion may be satisfied if the requirements of either paragraph (b) or (c) of this section are met.

(b) Demonstrate that implementation of the plan and all other regionally significant projects expected in the nonattainment area will contribute to reductions in emissions of PM10 in a PM10 nonattainment area (and of each transportation-related precursor of PM10 in PM10 nonattainment areas if the EPA Regional Administrator or the director of the State air agency has made a finding that such precursor emissions from within the nonattainment area are a significant contributor to the PM10 nonattainment problem and has so notified the MPO and DOT) and of NOx in an NO2 nonattainment area, by performing a regional emissions analysis as follows:

(1) Determine the analysis years for which emissions are to be estimated. Analysis years shall be no more than ten years apart. The first analysis year shall be no later than 1996 (for NO2 areas) or four years and six months following the date of designation (for PM10 areas). The second analysis year shall be either the attainment year for the area, or if the attainment year is the same as the first analysis year or earlier, the second analysis year shall be at least five years beyond the first analysis year. The last year of the transportation plan's forecast period shall also be an analysis year.

(2) Define for each of the analysis years the 'Baseline' scenario, as defined in § 1223(c), and the 'Action' scenario, as defined in § 1223(d).

(3) Estimate the emissions predicted to result in each analysis year from travel on the transportation systems defined by the 'Baseline' and 'Action' scenarios and determine the difference between the two scenarios in regional PM10 emissions in a PM10 nonattainment area (and transportation-related precursors of PM10 in PM10 nonattainment areas if the EPA Regional Administrator or the director of the State air agency has made a finding that such precursor emissions from within the nonattainment area are a significant contributor to the PM10 nonattainment problem and has so notified the MPO and DOT) and in NOx emissions in an NO2 nonattainment area. The analysis must be performed for each of the analysis years according to the requirements of § 1231. The analysis must address the periods between the analysis years and the periods between 1990, the first milestone year (if any), and the first of the analysis years. Emissions in milestone years which are between the analysis years may be determined by interpolation.

(4) Demonstrate that the regional PM10 emissions and PM10 precursor emissions, where applicable, (for PM10 nonattainment areas) and NOx emissions (for NO2 nonattainment areas) predicted in the 'Action' scenario are less than the emissions predicted from the 'Baseline' scenario in each analysis year, and that this can reasonably be expected to be true in the periods between the first milestone year (if any) and the analysis years.

(c) Demonstrate that when the projects in the transportation plan and all other regionally significant projects expected in the nonattainment area are implemented, the transportation system's total highway and transit emissions of PM10 in a PM10 nonattainment area (and transportation-related precursors of PM10 in PM10 nonattainment areas if the EPA Regional Administrator or the director of the State air agency has made a finding that such precursor emissions from within the nonattainment area are a significant contributor to the PM10 nonattainment problem and has so notified the MPO and DOT) and of NOx in an NO2 nonattainment area will not be greater than baseline levels, by performing a regional emissions analysis as follows:

(1) Determine the baseline regional emissions of PM10 and PM10 precursors, where applicable (for PM10 nonattainment areas) and NOx (for NO2 nonattainment areas) from highway and transit sources. Baseline emissions are those estimated to have occurred during calendar year 1990.

(2) Estimate the emissions of the applicable pollutant(s) from the entire transportation system, including projects in the transportation plan and TIP and all other regionally significant projects in the nonattainment area, according to the requirements of § 1231. Emissions shall be estimated for analysis years which are no more than ten years apart. The first analysis year shall be no later than 1996 (for NO2 areas) or four years and six months following the date of designation (for PM10 areas). The second analysis year shall be either the attainment year for the area, or if the attainment year is the same as the first analysis year or earlier, the second analysis year shall be at least five years beyond the first analysis year. The last year of the transportation plan's forecast period shall also be an analysis year.

(3) Demonstrate that for each analysis year the emissions estimated in paragraph (c)(2) of this section are no greater than baseline emissions of PM10 and PM10 precursors, where applicable (for PM10 nonattainment areas) or NOx (for NO2 nonattainment areas) from highway and transit sources.