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Comment 89 for ZEV 2008 (zev2008) - 45 Day.

First NameMark
Last NameClifford
Email Addressbeach.cliffs@roadrunner.com
AffiliationCitizen/Consumer
Subject2008 Amendments to the ZEV Regulation
Comment
As a consumer anxiously awaiting the arrival of an affordable and
practival ZEV or Plug-in-Hybrid (my eye is on the Th!nk Ox), I
implore the board to consider and implement the following
recommendations as proposed by Chelsea Sexton, Executive Director
of Plug in America:
 
1)  HOLD FIRM ON “GOLD” ZEV NUMBERS - The "Staff Proposal- Initial
Statement of Reasons" notes that the 18-year history of the ZEV
Program has yet to make ZEVs commercially available - reducing the
number of ZEVs required yet again will not accomplish this goal.
The current proposal would require an average of fewer than 140
ZEVs per year from any individual automaker until 2015 - few
enough that several automakers can use banked credits for the next
decade to meet this requirement. Those with fewer banked credits
can easily accomplish these numbers through credit trading with
small automakers, like Tesla. Worse, the lower numbers ensure that
ZEVs will never leave hand built production volumes, and that costs
will remain too high for commercial viability. 
 
Plug In America therefore asks that CARB hold firm on the current
25,000 ZEVs required in Phase III, and 50,000 ZEVs required in
Phase IV. These are the numbers previously committed to by
automakers, and are appropriate to bridge the gap between R&D and
commercialization. 
 

2) ENHANCED AT-PZEVs -  these enhanced vehicles are incredibly
promising, both for their ZEV-enabling properties, and for the
near-term air quality benefits. Several automakers have expressed
their enthusiasm for these vehicles, with at least two models
committed for production during Phase II. However, these vehicles
should not come at the expense of ZEVs, and merit requirements of
their own to support their commercialization. 
 
a) PZEVs NEED TO GROW UP - To the extent that allocation is taken
from another category to make room for Enhanced AT-PZEVs, it
should be taken from the dirtiest category in the ZEV Program, not
the cleanest. While PZEVs have served as an air-quality victory for
the Program, they no longer need commercialization support, and
lend no ZEV-enabling value. Therefore, we propose that the
percentage of the Program requirements allowed to be met by PZEVs
be reduced to 4% in Phase III, 2% in Phase IV, and phase out
completely after 2018. In each Phase, the reduced PZEV requirement
would be transferred up to the Enhanced AT-PZEV category, creating
a stand-alone requirement for these vehicles without distracting
from commercialization efforts of true ZEVs. 

As noted above, Plug In America understands that PZEVs play an
important role in achieving California’s air quality goals.
However, they don’t support the specific goals of the ZEV Program;
PIA's proposal provides adequate time for a PZEV requirement to be
shifted to a more appropriate program such as LEV III. 

 
b) PHEV DEFINITION METRICS- Plug In America strongly encourages
the Board to reconsider defining and crediting Plug-in Hybrid
Vehicles (PHEV) by a more straightforward metric such as kWh
(either onboard or net usable) rather than miles. 

 
Using kWh provides more flexibility to the automakers to build
PHEVs in both propulsion configuration (serial, parallel, etc.)
and body style what they think will sell in the marketplace and
will result in more overall cars on the road. Because a kWh of
electricity offsets roughly the same amount of petroleum in a
large vehicle as a small one, it is more important to encourage
maximum electrification of all vehicles more than any one
particular vehicle.  Defining by miles unfairly biases toward
small PHEVs, and will result in more similar vehicle models
competing for the same market share, while providing few options
to the significant segment of CA consumers who want a larger
vehicle. Using this metric will still encourage smaller, more
efficient vehicles because they are more cost-effective to build,
but also rewards manufacturers who choose to electrify larger
vehicles.  

 
c) BATTERY WARRANTY – Plug In America recommends a temporary
reprieve in this requirement for PHEVs using lithium batteries
only, in order to encourage automakers to commercialize vehicles
sooner. The following warranty schedule still provides sufficient
consumer protection and ensures a low emissions profile for a
reasonable amount of time. 
 
Phase II:   Five (5) years/ 60,000 miles

Phase III: Seven (7)/100,000 miles

Phase IV: Ten (10)/150,000 miles


3)BACKFILLING- Plug In America opposes the use of Enhanced
AT-PZEVs to backfill for any portion of the ZEV requirement and
prefers to see separate, appropriate requirements created for ZEVs
and Enhanced AT-PZEVs.
 
However, to the extent that CARB is wedded to the idea, Plug In
America proposes raising the bar on both the quality and number of
vehicles required to backfill:
 
Only PHEV20s or better can backfill (PHEV10s can still get credit
in Silver) Enhanced AT-PZEVs of any kind would backfill at half
the credit they would otherwise earn in the Silver category. 
 
This would result in roughly 5-6 Enhanced AT-PZEVs for each ZEV
instead of only 2-3, providing compliance flexibility for
automakers while still encouraging development of ZEVs. 
 
Additionally, to the extent that EAER must be used, Plug In
America requests that CARB base evaluations on the US06 test
cycle, not UDDS, which again favors vehicles “blended” at lower
speeds and doesn’t represent “real world” driving.  
 
4) PUBLIC FLEET REQUIREMENTS- while there is certainly retail
demand for ZEV and near-ZEV cars, fleets can play a significant
role in assuring a market for automakers compelled to build them,
as well as in producing air-quality results for the areas in which
they’re deployed. We therefore encourage CARB to consider requiring
public fleets to purchase ZEVs and Enhanced AT-PZEVs when available
and where practical for their intended use. However, because these
vehicles are purchased with public funds, we propose that fleets
must choose the most economical vehicle technology (lifetime cost)
for a given air-quality benefit. 
 
5) CREATIVE ZEV ECONOMICS- It makes sense for staff to consider
the economic impact of the regulation on the automaker, however,
citing 2003 battery cost estimates and projected 2012-2014 fuel
cell costs to determine the incremental cost of each technology
(ISOR, pg. 33) paints an inaccurate economic scenario that biases
the reader against plug-in vehicles. Plug In America is watching
this trend with increasing alarm since these flawed assumptions
are appearing in a variety of documents relating to various ARB
regulations. The two technologies need to be evaluated on an even
economic playing field. 
 
6) TRAVEL PROVISION – Plug In America opposes any travel provision
in combination with decreasing the number of ZEVs required in any
phase. We are very aware of how this issue has been “gamed” in the
past, with vehicles being removed from service after a few years
and placed in another state for credit. However, sanctioning the
idea of building fewer ZEVs not only for one state, but eleven,
will not lead to the market-building volume that we need. 
 
7) EFFICIENCY MATTERS – Vehicles in the ZEV Program should be
defined and credited  based on their overall energy efficiencies
using a wells-to-wheels or lifecycle analysis. Plug In America
encourages the Board to look toward the future by considering
overall efficiency today.

Thank you for your consideration of all of the above.

Sincerely,
Mark D. Clifford
Hermosa Beach, CA

Attachment
Original File Name
Date and Time Comment Was Submitted 2008-03-15 04:52:53

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