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Comment 21 for 2022 Scoping Plan Update - Scenario Inputs Technical Workshop (sp22-inputs-ws) - 1st Workshop.
First Name: Joshua
Last Name: Kehoe
Email Address: kehoej1@gmail.com
Affiliation:
Subject: Full electrification considerations.
Comment:
Dear CARB personnel, I greatly appreciate the opportunity to leave comments on the AB 32 Climate Change Scoping Plan. I applaud the efforts to reduce GHG emissions and achieve carbon neutrality in California. I do have concerns about the push towards mass-electrification, however. Although an admirable goal, barring some major technological advancements, I fail to foresee how full electrification would be brought to realization without also implementing drastic measures to reduce energy use in the state. Replacing combustible energy sources will require other energy sources to produce all this electricity. Wind and solar will not be adequate for this. I can only imagine the massive and variable power loads placed on the electrical grid under certain circumstances such as: 1) Daily commuters charge their vehicles upon returning home in the evening. This afternoon/early evening time frame will coincide with 2) increased air conditioning or heater use, depending on the season, also due to people returning home. Solar will not be functioning at large capacity in the evening, so there will need to be massive storage solutions to collect solar energy that has been converted to electricity during the day. That is assuming the day was not cloudy. Solar and wind also do not provide reliable baseload capabilities and we will therefore need adequate nuclear capabilities, once again barring an unknown technological breakthrough. Regarding transportation emissions, reducing vehicle miles will be a good start. Light-duty vehicle electrification appears achievable aside from the caveats I mention above regarding strain on the electrical grid if large numbers of people choose to recharge simultaneously. Heavy duty vehicles, both on and off-road will likely be much more difficult to electrify, namely long-haul trucking and locomotives. Widespread electrification or fuel cell use in aviation might very well never be viable on a large-scale due to low energy density of batteries and non-carbon fuels that could be used in a fuel cell. The alternative to petroleum-based fuels that are available currently would be biomass-based fuels such as renewable diesel or the growing sustainable aviation fuel interest. I am sure you are aware of the great amount of research currently underway to increase the efficiency and reduce the carbon intensity associated with production of these fuels. Trying to eliminate "combustible" forms of energy misses the point, in my opinion, as the goal should instead be to utilize the most efficient non-petroleum source of energy for any given situation that requires energy input. Utilizing only electricity as the energy source under every circumstance requiring energy will lead to inefficiencies in energy use in total. And once again doesn't address what form of energy is going to be converted into electrical energy to begin with. Electricity is not a magical form of energy but instead just another form of energy acquired through conversion of another energy source, be it turbines powered by nuclear-power derived steam energy, conversion of the sun's photons into electricity within a PV solar panel, or the electrical impulses of our own nervous system generated by chemical energy production achieved by the consumption of various food sources combined with inhaled oxygen. In the end, if we want to decrease environmental impacts to our planet through human activity, we need to either use less energy per capita, or have less "per capita", meaning fewer people consuming energy on this planet. This issue, of course, is not directly relevant to AB 32, but in summary, really is the overarching issue facing our planet. Thank you for your time and providing this forum for me to express my opinions. Sincerely, Josh Kehoe
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Date and Time Comment Was Submitted: 2021-10-19 15:44:26
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