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Developing a New Methodology for Analyzing Potential
Displacement.

Karen Chapple, Ph.D., Professor of City & Regional Planning, UC
Berkeley and Miriam Zuk, Ph.D., Director at Center for Community
Innovation, UC Berkeley.

Wednesday, March 29, 2017 1:00 PM (PDT) WEBCAST
Sierra Hearing Room, 2nd Floor, Cal/EPA Building
1001 I Street, Sacramento, California

In 2008, California passed Senate Bill 375, requiring
metropolitan planning organizations (MPO) to develop Sustainable
Communities Strategies (SCS) as part of their regional
transportation planning process. While the implementation of
these strategies has the potential for environmental and economic
benefits, rising housing costs and changing neighborhood
conditions may compel low-income residents and households to move
out of transit-oriented neighborhoods. This out-migration is
called “displacement.”

The study examined the relationship between fixed-rail transit
neighborhoods and displacement in Los Angeles and the San
Francisco Bay Area. The researchers modeled patterns of
neighborhood change in relation to transit-oriented development
(TOD), and found that TOD is associated with changes in the
stability of the surrounding neighborhood, such as increases in
housing costs and the loss of low-income households. The research
found mixed evidence as to whether gentrification and
displacement in rail station areas would cause an increase in
auto usage and vehicle miles traveled (VMT). The results support
the consideration of displacement in the development of SCSs, and
the research also explored the possibility of considering
displacement in travel demand models used by the LA and San
Francisco MPOs and via off-model tools. Finally, researchers
examined the effectiveness of anti-displacement strategies, and
the results may be useful for MPOs, local jurisdictions, and
communities. 

For more information and the link to the webcast, visit our
webpage 
https://www.arb.ca.gov/research/seminars/chapple/chapple.htm

For information on this seminar, please contact:
Maggie Witt at (916) 324-9061 or send email to:
Maggie.Witt@arb.ca.gov

For information on this Series, please contact:
Peter Mathews at (916) 323-8711 or send email to:
Peter.Mathews@arb.ca.gov


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